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Red168
17956.0
353843.6
331445.0
Blue155
140530.4
131039.4
19573.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15014450100200250168155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#19
56.00.9
56.357.1
Auto12.2
Teleop31.7
End12.0
blue by 17.3
195
#4
73.40.9
71.472.3
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
Second
3314
#41
45.00.9
44.445.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End8.8
red by 5.7
1310
#50
39.40.9
39.640.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Third
3538
#25
43.60.9
44.445.3
Auto12.3
Teleop28.2
End3.0
red by 13.2
1405
#52
30.40.9
29.930.8
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsEarned55%Capture oddsEarned