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Red95
7313.9
304438.2
151135.6
Blue99
63935.3
145026.0
81030.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81836070901009599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#15
38.21.1
34.135.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.9
End6.5
red by 2.9
639
#11
35.31.2
29.530.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End8.8
Second
35.61.1
33.234.3
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End7.2
red by 5.2
810
#12
30.51.9
25.827.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End6.5
Third
73
#49
13.91.8
11.513.3
Auto0.3
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 12.1
1450
#17
26.01.2
25.026.2
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsEarned