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Red105
524033.4
17425.0
301537.4
Blue105
395126.5
493031.0
280929.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9186050150200250300350105105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.4
Auto9.6
Teleop22.4
End5.3
red by 6.4
31.0
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End7.1
Second
33.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.7
End6.1
red by 3.7
2809
#13
29.6
Auto9.8
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Third
174
#40
25.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End7.2
blue by 1.5
3951
#21
26.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsEarned