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Red112
403940.9
22233.1
317329.2
Blue87
318122.1
151134.4
999815.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136805010015020025011287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#10
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
red by 6.5
1511
#12
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End6.7
Second
222
#11
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
red by 11.0
3181
#26
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Third
3173
#16
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End4.4
red by 13.6
9998
#35
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
17%Capture odds3%Capture odds