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Red79
29124.3
649015.6
158520.6
Blue74
150734.7
136028.5
304441.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5311701001502007974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.3
blue by 16.9
3044
#28
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Second
1585
#22
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End3.8
blue by 14.1
1507
#29
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End6.2
Third
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 12.8
1360
#19
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds20%Capture odds