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Red133
248161.2
151134.4
152929.8
Blue109
7138.7
353843.6
368347.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12814050100150200133109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.20.2
61.661.4
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
red by 14.2
3683
#16
47.01.7
49.047.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
Second
1511
#37
34.40.2
34.634.4
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End6.7
blue by 9.2
3538
#25
43.61.7
45.343.6
Auto12.3
Teleop28.2
End3.0
Third
1529
#58
29.80.2
30.029.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.9
End4.5
blue by 8.9
71
#28
38.71.7
40.438.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
71%Capture oddsEarned88%Capture oddsMissed