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Red129
140530.4
102451.9
164037.3
Blue154
259051.9
4540.8
86857.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11915650100200250129154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#36
51.90.5
52.251.8
Auto13.5
Teleop32.8
End5.6
blue by 5.9
868
#20
57.80.5
57.357.8
Auto13.7
Teleop38.1
End6.0
Second
1640
#64
37.30.5
38.037.5
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
blue by 14.6
2590
#38
51.90.5
48.849.3
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Third
1405
#52
30.40.5
30.830.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 10.4
45
#9
40.80.5
40.340.8
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsMissed83%Capture oddsEarned