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Red158
2746.5
151134.4
161953.8
Blue127
246837.1
331445.0
546049.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138137100110120130150160170180158127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.81.7
51.753.3
Auto17.5
Teleop29.3
End7.1
red by 4.8
5460
#54
49.10.8
50.249.3
Auto9.9
Teleop31.6
End7.6
Second
27
#31
46.51.7
47.849.5
Auto11.7
Teleop26.5
End8.2
red by 1.5
3314
#41
45.00.8
45.344.4
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End8.8
Third
1511
#37
34.41.7
33.535.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End6.7
blue by 2.7
2468
#48
37.10.8
39.338.4
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
81%Capture oddsEarned76%Capture oddsMissed