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Red185
348141.2
362057.4
17956.0
Blue170
259051.9
6765.1
46139.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152146100120140160180200185170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.41.5
53.855.3
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
blue by 7.7
67
#12
65.11.8
59.961.7
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
Second
179
#19
56.01.5
54.756.3
Auto12.2
Teleop31.7
End12.0
red by 4.2
2590
#38
51.91.8
47.349.1
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Third
3481
#59
41.21.5
38.440.0
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
red by 1.7
461
#67
39.61.8
35.637.4
Auto6.4
Teleop29.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
47%Capture oddsEarned77%Capture oddsEarned