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Red137
172034.9
102349.9
131039.4
Blue180
368347.0
33062.3
105845.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12115950100200250137180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#44
49.90.9
49.250.1
Auto10.4
Teleop30.0
End9.5
blue by 12.4
330
#23
62.31.7
59.361.1
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
Second
1310
#50
39.40.9
38.739.6
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End8.1
blue by 7.7
3683
#16
47.01.7
46.548.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
Third
1720
#63
34.90.9
35.436.3
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
blue by 10.9
1058
#32
45.81.7
42.944.7
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsMissed72%Capture oddsEarned