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Red167
313043.2
174749.4
382452.2
Blue135
164037.3
248161.2
49448.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14115650100200250167135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#46
52.21.5
48.149.6
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5
blue by 9.1
61.21.0
62.861.8
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Second
1747
#18
49.41.5
46.247.7
Auto15.1
Teleop27.5
End6.8
red by 0.6
494
#24
48.81.0
48.047.0
Auto16.0
Teleop25.4
End7.5
Third
3130
#35
43.21.5
45.146.6
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
red by 5.9
1640
#64
37.31.0
39.138.1
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsEarned61%Capture oddsMissed