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Red68
509212.9
151130.0
558924.9
Blue32
370515.2
471819.8
78119.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59462040801006832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.8
27.528.3
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End3.6
red by 10.2
4718
#22
19.81.6
12.811.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Second
5589
#12
24.90.8
17.418.3
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End3.5
red by 5.9
781
#29
19.01.6
20.919.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End2.4
Third
5092
#37
12.90.8
10.411.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End-0.6
blue by 2.2
3705
#36
15.21.6
13.011.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed