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Red135
171847.3
102349.9
151134.4
Blue157
458753.6
233844.4
2036.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128132050100150200250300350135157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#44
49.90.7
48.549.2
Auto10.4
Teleop30.0
End9.5
blue by 3.7
4587
#26
53.61.9
49.751.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
1718
#57
47.30.7
43.544.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.0
red by 2.9
2338
#33
44.41.9
39.741.7
Auto9.3
Teleop31.1
End4.0
Third
1511
#37
34.40.7
32.833.5
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End6.7
blue by 2.5
20
#62
36.91.9
38.640.5
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned39%Capture oddsEarned