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Red128
4540.8
301533.7
525450.1
Blue110
261441.9
131039.4
496741.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231266080100140160180128110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#22
50.10.6
48.248.8
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 8.2
2614
#43
41.90.8
41.440.6
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Second
45
#9
40.80.6
37.838.3
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End4.0
blue by 0.5
4967
#66
41.20.8
41.040.2
Auto8.9
Teleop25.3
End7.1
Third
3015
#60
33.70.6
33.734.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
blue by 5.7
1310
#50
39.40.8
39.538.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsEarned23%Capture oddsMissed