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Red165
21756.1
277149.0
164037.3
Blue150
62437.5
205675.2
364151.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14517150100200250165150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#7
56.10.7
58.258.9
Auto14.9
Teleop31.6
End9.6
blue by 19.2
75.20.8
75.875.0
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
Second
2771
#10
49.00.7
48.248.9
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End5.8
blue by 2.8
3641
#15
51.80.8
52.251.3
Auto10.4
Teleop36.9
End4.6
Third
1640
#64
37.30.7
38.439.1
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
blue by 0.3
624
#42
37.50.8
34.733.8
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
85%Capture oddsEarned97%Capture oddsEarned