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Red105
108644.3
140530.4
125736.0
Blue150
246837.1
250244.6
362057.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97142050200250105150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#49
44.30.3
36.536.8
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
blue by 13.1
57.40.3
53.553.8
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
Second
1257
#51
36.00.3
32.833.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.9
End6.4
blue by 8.6
2502
#27
44.60.3
38.738.9
Auto10.2
Teleop25.2
End9.2
Third
1405
#52
30.40.3
31.231.5
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 6.7
2468
#48
37.10.3
39.039.3
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed56%Capture oddsMissed