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Red155
102451.9
24537.5
124161.8
Blue175
201347.0
353843.6
245159.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150152120130140160170180155175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#30
61.80.5
55.656.2
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 2.4
2451
#11
59.41.6
55.757.2
Auto17.6
Teleop33.7
End8.1
Second
1024
#36
51.90.5
55.856.3
Auto13.5
Teleop32.8
End5.6
red by 4.9
2013
#47
47.01.6
47.048.6
Auto13.8
Teleop25.9
End7.3
Third
245
#56
37.50.5
35.736.3
Auto10.1
Teleop23.8
End3.5
blue by 6.1
3538
#25
43.61.6
43.745.3
Auto12.3
Teleop28.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
85%Capture oddsEarned53%Capture oddsEarned