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Red185
259051.9
11868.0
1650.4
Blue132
167537.7
33062.3
382452.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17014450100200250300185132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
68.00.9
68.369.1
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 5.7
330
#23
62.30.8
60.159.3
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
Second
2590
#38
51.90.9
46.447.3
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
blue by 0.3
3824
#46
52.20.8
48.948.1
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5
Third
16
#40
50.40.9
47.047.9
Auto10.9
Teleop29.6
End9.8
red by 12.6
1675
#61
37.70.8
34.934.1
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
97%Capture oddsEarned38%Capture oddsMissed