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Red142
2746.5
368347.0
180653.3
Blue129
313043.2
17956.0
7138.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15314250100200250142129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#17
53.30.7
51.350.6
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
blue by 2.7
179
#19
56.00.7
55.454.7
Auto12.2
Teleop31.7
End12.0
Second
3683
#16
47.00.7
47.246.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
red by 3.9
3130
#35
43.20.7
45.845.1
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
Third
27
#31
46.50.7
48.547.8
Auto11.7
Teleop26.5
End8.2
red by 7.8
71
#28
38.70.7
38.537.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
89%Capture oddsEarned67%Capture oddsMissed