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Red135
348141.2
282633.0
86857.8
Blue160
174749.4
161953.8
172034.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513150100150200135160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#20
57.80.5
51.752.2
Auto13.7
Teleop38.1
End6.0
red by 3.9
53.82.2
49.451.7
Auto17.5
Teleop29.3
End7.1
Second
3481
#59
41.20.5
37.938.4
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
blue by 8.2
1747
#18
49.42.2
44.046.2
Auto15.1
Teleop27.5
End6.8
Third
2826
#69
33.00.5
32.633.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End6.6
blue by 1.9
1720
#63
34.92.2
33.135.4
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed49%Capture oddsEarned