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Red140
105845.8
174639.8
6765.1
Blue142
152929.8
49448.8
331445.0
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211950100200140142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#12
65.10.2
60.159.9
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
red by 16.3
494
#24
48.81.5
46.548.0
Auto16.0
Teleop25.4
End7.5
Second
1058
#32
45.80.2
43.242.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
red by 0.8
3314
#41
45.01.5
43.845.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End8.8
Third
1746
#45
39.80.2
39.939.7
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
red by 10.0
1529
#58
29.81.5
29.731.2
Auto7.4
Teleop17.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
73%Capture oddsMissed46%Capture oddsEarned