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Red164
108644.3
23442.7
50350.6
Blue175
205675.2
171847.3
24537.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120167050100150200250164175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#21
50.62.7
48.351.0
Auto10.4
Teleop29.2
End11.0
blue by 24.6
75.21.3
75.076.3
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
Second
1086
#49
44.32.7
36.839.5
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
blue by 3.0
1718
#57
47.31.3
44.145.4
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.0
Third
234
#68
42.72.7
38.140.8
Auto12.1
Teleop23.1
End7.5
red by 5.3
245
#56
37.51.3
36.337.6
Auto10.1
Teleop23.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsEarned78%Capture oddsEarned