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Final 22016 Greater Toronto Central Regional
Red146
400134.4
368343.7
503915.5
Blue108
260931.2
151130.0
495123.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141058090100110120130140150146108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#1
43.70.1
43.6→43.7
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End11.7
red by 12.4
2609
#3
31.20.0
31.3→31.2
Auto10.3
Teleop15.8
End5.1
Second
4001
#4
34.40.1
34.3→34.4
Auto10.1
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 4.4
1511
#2
30.00.0
30.1→30.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End3.6
Third
5039
#38
15.50.1
15.5→15.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 7.7
4951
#20
23.30.0
23.3→23.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3