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Qual 952016 Curie Division
Red91
401031.4
151134.5
186825.8
Blue115
519933.6
354644.1
603415.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999440608012014016091115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#25
34.50.3
37.9→37.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.8
blue by 9.6
3546
#1
44.10.2
44.5→44.7
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
Second
4010
#41
31.40.3
32.0→31.7
Auto9.3
Teleop17.9
End4.2
blue by 2.1
5199
#50
33.60.2
31.8→32.0
Auto10.9
Teleop12.4
End10.3
Third
1868
#54
25.80.3
25.3→25.0
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
red by 10.7
6034
#75
15.10.2
15.7→15.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsMissed