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Red106
593328.9
580337.5
32134.0
Blue93
166228.9
418836.4
87648.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981265015010693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.1
36.836.8
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
blue by 10.9
876
#21
48.42.0
49.147.0
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
Second
321
#30
34.00.1
34.234.3
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
blue by 2.5
4188
#59
36.42.0
38.836.8
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
Third
5933
#20
28.90.1
28.728.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.6
Level
1662
#63
28.92.0
30.828.8
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
28%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed