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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red146
301537.4
151135.6
37828.2
Blue135
112630.3
201032.1
57832.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512080100160180200146135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#4
37.40.1
38.8→38.7
Auto9.6
Teleop22.4
End5.3
red by 5.3
2010
#10
32.10.3
33.6→33.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
Second
1511
#2
35.60.1
37.0→36.9
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End7.2
red by 3.7
578
#16
32.00.3
33.5→33.2
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Third
378
#37
28.20.1
29.6→29.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
blue by 2.1
1126
#14
30.30.3
31.8→31.5
Auto8.1
Teleop16.7
End5.5