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Red156
112630.3
201032.1
57832.0
Blue159
304438.2
493031.0
34032.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413150100150200156159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#10
32.10.3
31.832.1
Auto11.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
blue by 6.1
3044
#15
38.20.0
38.438.5
Auto10.8
Teleop20.9
End6.5
Second
578
#16
32.00.3
31.732.0
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 0.7
340
#23
32.70.0
32.932.9
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
Third
1126
#14
30.30.3
30.030.3
Auto8.1
Teleop16.7
End5.5
blue by 0.7
31.00.0
31.331.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End7.1