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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red0
301537.4
151135.6
37828.2
Blue80
112630.3
201032.1
57832.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135119050100150200080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#4DQ
37.40.6
38.7→38.1
Auto9.6
Teleop22.4
End5.3
red by 5.3
2010
#10
32.10.7
33.3→32.6
Auto11.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
Second
1511
#2DQ
35.60.6
36.9→36.3
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End7.2
red by 3.7
578
#16
32.00.7
33.2→32.4
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Third
378
#37DQ
28.20.6
29.5→28.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
blue by 2.1
1126
#14
30.30.7
31.5→30.8
Auto8.1
Teleop16.7
End5.5