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Red57
186825.8
28739.5
433518.2
Blue152
2550.0
16649.6
151134.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791455010020057152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#64
39.52.0
39.938.0
Auto10.9
Teleop24.4
End4.2
blue by 10.6
25
#3
50.01.4
48.149.5
Auto11.9
Teleop24.3
End13.9
Second
1868
#54
25.82.0
26.624.6
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
blue by 23.8
166
#10
49.61.4
47.248.7
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Third
4335
#70
18.22.0
19.817.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 16.3
1511
#25
34.51.4
35.737.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsMissed99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed92%Capture oddsEarned