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Red139
63939.8
540647.7
29124.3
Blue89
151134.4
19134.7
222827.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491225010020025013989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 13.0
191
#3
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Second
639
#4
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
red by 5.3
1511
#12
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End6.7
Third
291
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.3
blue by 3.1
2228
#23
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.3
End4.4