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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Rah Cha Cha Ruckus
Red156
63939.8
540647.7
29124.3
Blue77
649015.6
503033.3
150734.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1539505020025015677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 13.0
1507
#29
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End6.2
Second
639
#4
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
red by 6.4
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Third
291
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.3
red by 8.7
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7