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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Rah Cha Cha Ruckus
Red109
2036.9
525450.1
395126.5
Blue157
112630.6
493033.8
155933.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512850100200250300109157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.0
50.150.1
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 16.2
1559
#25
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
Second
20
#20
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
red by 3.1
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Third
3951
#21
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End4.3
blue by 4.1
1126
#15
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9