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Red132
22326.9
7527.6
22556.5
Blue119
314229.5
562432.2
151134.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117960200300400500132119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
56.50.0
56.556.5
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
red by 22.0
1511
Unranked
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Second
75
Unranked
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End2.9
blue by 4.6
5624
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.3
End3.4
Third
223
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
blue by 2.7
3142
Unranked
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto6.4
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
53%Capture odds34%Capture odds