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Red50
577621.8
495123.3
503915.5
Blue71
592116.9
151130.0
406922.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51710204060801001205071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4951
#20
23.30.3
18.718.4
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
blue by 6.8
30.00.0
27.527.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End3.6
Second
5776
#30
21.80.3
18.318.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End4.3
blue by 0.3
4069
#13
22.10.0
22.522.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Third
5039
#38
15.50.3
15.515.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 1.4
5921
#15
16.90.0
16.316.3
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed