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Red41
88617.3
181519.1
600923.9
Blue84
459414.8
558924.9
270624.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534402060804184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6009
#31
23.91.0
18.317.3
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End4.5
blue by 1.1
5589
#12
24.92.8
14.617.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Second
1815
#35
19.11.0
18.017.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End2.0
blue by 5.1
24.22.8
15.718.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
Third
886
#33
17.31.0
13.412.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
red by 2.6
4594
#41
14.82.8
13.316.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed