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Red72
491417.1
368343.7
78119.0
Blue54
591124.3
148218.8
280921.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87520204060801001201407254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.8
32.531.8
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End11.7
red by 19.4
5911
#17Sur
24.30.8
19.318.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.5
End3.6
Second
781
#29
19.00.8
21.720.9
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End2.4
blue by 2.7
2809
#16
21.70.8
18.217.4
Auto8.9
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
4914
#34Sur
17.10.8
24.723.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 1.7
1482
#27
18.80.8
18.317.5
Auto1.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed