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Qual 792016 Curie Division
Red117
108941.2
151134.5
593328.9
Blue78
432930.2
33931.4
418031.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110935015020011778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#2
41.20.9
39.2→40.1
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
red by 9.6
4180
#47
31.61.0
30.5→29.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Second
1511
#25
34.50.9
37.1→37.9
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.8
red by 3.1
339
#58
31.41.0
31.4→30.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
5933
#20
28.90.9
27.8→28.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.6
blue by 1.3
4329
#39
30.21.0
30.9→29.9
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed