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Red115
255745.4
188539.1
603415.1
Blue77
583421.3
589214.2
393031.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1076205015020011577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#22
45.40.5
44.144.6
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
red by 14.1
3930
#23
31.30.7
31.332.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Second
1885
#11
39.10.5
38.138.6
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
red by 17.8
5834
#52
21.30.7
22.423.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End1.9
Third
6034
#75
15.10.5
15.215.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.5
red by 0.9
5892
#73
14.20.7
12.813.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed