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Red122
19134.7
288339.9
580337.5
Blue101
331044.2
323437.4
594021.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120119100110130140122101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#18
39.90.3
45.445.1
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
blue by 4.4
3310
#34
44.21.7
50.348.6
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
37.50.3
37.036.8
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
red by 0.1
3234
#48
37.41.7
42.240.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.6
End10.2
Third
191
#44
34.70.3
33.733.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 13.5
5940
#68
21.21.7
23.822.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsMissed