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Red110
601624.9
186825.8
540647.7
Blue81
365636.9
199127.5
337425.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989885909510010511011081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.7
44.845.5
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 10.8
3656
#37
36.91.3
39.638.3
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End5.0
Second
1868
#54
25.80.7
24.625.3
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
blue by 1.7
1991
#42
27.51.3
29.227.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
Third
6016
#57
24.90.7
25.626.3
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.4
blue by 0.5
3374
#43
25.41.3
26.525.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed