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Red134
446944.0
126144.9
567924.5
Blue91
198342.2
107320.2
314736.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120995015013491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
44.90.7
44.745.4
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 2.7
1983
#40
42.20.5
42.441.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
Second
4469
#28
44.00.7
43.143.8
Auto9.4
Teleop29.9
End4.6
red by 7.9
3147
#65
36.10.5
35.434.9
Auto8.6
Teleop16.2
End11.4
Third
5679
#67
24.50.7
26.026.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End4.4
red by 4.4
1073
#71
20.20.5
20.820.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsMissed