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Red122
155129.1
81030.5
151135.6
Blue65
155931.6
166525.1
176516.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96732040608012014016012265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.8
34.336.1
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End7.2
red by 4.0
1559
#25
31.60.6
32.331.7
Auto7.0
Teleop18.9
End5.7
Second
810
#12
30.52.6
27.730.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End6.5
red by 5.3
1665
#32
25.10.6
26.125.5
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End3.3
Third
1551
#43
29.11.8
27.629.5
Auto6.4
Teleop15.0
End7.7
red by 13.0
1765
#48
16.10.9
15.714.9
Auto1.7
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed