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Red141
260931.2
151130.0
495123.3
Blue96
336033.5
569930.2
280921.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071069010011012013014014196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.0
31.231.3
Auto10.3
Teleop15.8
End5.1
blue by 2.2
33.50.3
33.833.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End7.9
Second
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End3.6
blue by 0.2
30.20.3
30.530.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End6.2
Third
4951
#20
23.30.0
23.223.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 1.6
2809
#16
21.70.3
22.021.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.8
End3.0