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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Greater Toronto Central Regional
Red140
18830.5
494627.6
451922.8
Blue107
285227.1
77228.3
558924.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100998090110120130140140107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#19
30.50.4
29.8→30.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.8
End4.7
red by 2.2
772
#7
28.30.0
28.3→28.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End3.5
Second
4946
#6
27.60.4
26.9→27.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.9
End3.4
red by 0.5
2852
#14
27.10.0
27.0→27.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Third
4519
#25
22.80.4
22.1→22.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.2
End3.5
blue by 2.1
5589
#12
24.90.0
24.9→24.9
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End3.5