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Red80
86523.1
18830.5
154722.1
Blue86
77120.1
148218.8
151130.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7664401001208086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#19
30.50.7
28.028.8
Auto9.0
Teleop16.8
End4.7
red by 0.5
30.01.6
27.529.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End3.6
Second
865
#28
23.10.7
22.923.6
Auto8.6
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 3.0
771
#21
20.11.6
19.220.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Third
1547
#24
22.10.7
21.522.2
Auto9.6
Teleop8.7
End3.8
red by 3.3
1482
#27
18.81.6
17.318.9
Auto1.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned