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Red90
49448.8
151134.4
362057.4
Blue85
124161.8
164037.3
2746.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411720501002002503009085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.43.8
55.451.7
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
blue by 4.4
1241
#30
61.85.2
63.758.6
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
Second
494
#24
48.83.8
51.547.7
Auto16.0
Teleop25.4
End7.5
red by 2.3
27
#31
46.55.2
54.249.1
Auto11.7
Teleop26.5
End8.2
Third
1511
#37
34.43.8
34.530.7
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End6.7
blue by 2.8
1640
#64
37.35.2
44.339.1
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
85%Capture oddsMissed98%Capture oddsMissed