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Red97
403940.9
13358.2
301533.7
Blue129
140530.4
205675.2
172034.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451435010020097129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
58.22.9
59.356.4
Auto14.8
Teleop32.0
End11.3
blue by 17.1
75.20.7
70.169.5
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
Second
4039
#34
40.92.9
42.539.6
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
red by 6.0
1720
#63
34.90.7
36.736.1
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Third
3015
#60
33.72.9
38.635.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
red by 3.3
1405
#52
30.40.7
32.031.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
85%Capture oddsMissed92%Capture oddsMissed