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Red150
50350.6
364151.8
174749.4
Blue77
173143.2
152929.8
259051.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140127010020030040015077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#15
51.81.0
50.351.3
Auto10.4
Teleop36.9
End4.6
Level
2590
#38
51.93.2
49.346.1
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Second
503
#21
50.61.0
42.043.0
Auto10.4
Teleop29.2
End11.0
red by 7.4
1731
#39
43.23.2
43.139.9
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
Third
1747
#18
49.41.0
42.143.2
Auto15.1
Teleop27.5
End6.8
red by 19.6
1529
#58
29.83.2
32.629.4
Auto7.4
Teleop17.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
91%Capture oddsMissed88%Capture oddsMissed