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Red149
167537.7
6765.1
11868.0
Blue100
246837.1
496741.2
24537.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175125050100150200250300350400149100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
68.00.9
64.163.1
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 26.7
4967
#66
41.21.9
47.245.3
Auto8.9
Teleop25.3
End7.1
Second
67
#12
65.10.9
59.458.5
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
red by 27.7
245
#56
37.51.9
39.537.6
Auto10.1
Teleop23.8
End3.5
Third
1675
#61
37.70.9
39.338.4
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End4.2
red by 0.6
2468
#48
37.11.9
41.940.0
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
96%Capture oddsEarned82%Capture oddsMissed