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Red174
277149.0
19573.4
368347.0
Blue99
125736.0
282633.0
382452.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18411405015020025030017499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
73.40.4
68.969.3
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
red by 21.2
3824
#46
52.21.5
48.947.5
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5
Second
2771
#10
49.00.4
50.350.7
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End5.8
red by 13.0
1257
#51
36.01.5
34.733.2
Auto10.7
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Third
3683
#16
47.00.4
49.049.4
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
red by 14.0
2826
#69
33.01.5
37.235.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
98%Capture oddsEarned35%Capture oddsMissed